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hscscience Ext 1 · Y12
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Module 10 · L16 of 20 ~40 min ⚡ +90 XP available

Using Technology for Binomial Calculations

Summing 11 binomial PMF terms by hand for $P(X \leq 10)$ when $n = 25$ wastes ten minutes you don't have in an exam. Two keystrokes on a graphics calculator give the same answer. This lesson teaches the ClassPad and TI workflows for binompdf and binomcdf, when to pick technology over the manual formula, and how to communicate the calculator step clearly in working.

Today's hook — You need $P(X \leq 10)$ where $X \sim B(25, 0.4)$. Before reading on, estimate (a) how many PMF terms you would have to sum by hand, and (b) which calculator command — binompdf or binomcdf — gives you the answer in a single call. Compare your guesses after card 05.
0/5QUESTS
01
Recall — your gut answer first
+5 XP warm-up

You need to compute $P(X = 4)$ where $X \sim B(20, 0.3)$. Before opening a calculator — write the binomial formula with the values substituted, then state which calculator command (binompdf or binomcdf) would replace the manual computation.

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02
The two moves for calculator work
+5 XP to read

Every technology-assisted question rewards two habits: pick the right command (pdf for one value, cdf for a tail), then write the calculator call in your working so the marker can verify your set-up even if the numerical result is wrong.

The pdf-or-cdf decision: (1) is the question "exactly $k$"? Use binompdf(n, p, k). (2) Is it "at most $k$" or "$X \leq k$"? Use binomcdf(n, p, k). (3) Tails like $P(X \geq k)$ use $1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k-1)$.

binompdf(n, p, k) $= P(X = k)$  ·  binomcdf(n, p, k) $= P(X \leq k)$

Tail? read words Pick cmd pdf · cdf Write show call Sanity check: 0 ≤ answer ≤ 1
$P(X \leq k) = \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k)$
pdf = point, cdf = cumulative
binompdf returns the probability of a single value $X = k$. binomcdf returns the cumulative probability $X \leq k$. Mismatching them is the most common technology error.
Show the call
In working write, e.g., "$P(X \geq 6) = 1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(10, 0.4, 5) \approx 0.1662$". The marker can award method marks even if a keystroke went wrong.
Round to 4 dp
Unless the question states otherwise, give binomial probabilities to 4 decimal places. Premature rounding inside multi-step calculations causes lost marks.
03
What you'll master
Know

Key facts

  • binompdf(n, p, k) $= P(X = k)$
  • binomcdf(n, p, k) $= P(X \leq k)$
  • $P(X \geq k) = 1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k-1)$
Understand

Concepts

  • When manual computation is fast (small $n$, single term)
  • When technology is essential (large $n$, cumulative tails)
  • Why writing the calculator call in working preserves method marks
Can do

Skills

  • Navigate the ClassPad or TI binomial menu and enter the correct parameters
  • Translate any binomial question into a single calculator call
  • Communicate calculator working in a way that earns method marks
04
Key terms
binompdf"Binomial probability density function" — a single-point probability $P(X = k)$ for $X \sim B(n, p)$. Syntax: binompdf(n, p, k).
binomcdf"Binomial cumulative density function" — the lower-tail probability $P(X \leq k)$ for $X \sim B(n, p)$. Syntax: binomcdf(n, p, k).
ClassPad pathMain → Interactive → Distribution/Inv.Dist → Discrete → binomialPDf or binomialCDf. Enter $n$, $p$, and the value or range.
TI-84 path2nd → VARS (DISTR) → binompdf( or binomcdf( . Arguments are (trials, p, x).
Method markA mark awarded for the correct set-up regardless of the final numerical answer. Showing the calculator call protects this mark even if the final number is wrong.
ME12-5NESA outcome: applies statistical processes to evaluate inferences and conclusions, including using technology to compute binomial probabilities.
05
The wording-to-command map
core concept

Every exam phrase has a one-line calculator translation. Memorise this table — it is the entire toolkit:

  • "Exactly $k$": $P(X = k) = \texttt{binompdf}(n, p, k)$.
  • "At most $k$" / "no more than $k$": $P(X \leq k) = \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k)$.
  • "Fewer than $k$": $P(X < k) = P(X \leq k-1) = \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k-1)$.
  • "At least $k$": $P(X \geq k) = 1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k-1)$.
  • "More than $k$": $P(X > k) = 1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k)$.
  • "Between $a$ and $b$ (inclusive)": $P(a \leq X \leq b) = \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, b) - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, a-1)$.

Worked through the hook: $X \sim B(25, 0.4)$, find $P(X \leq 10)$.

  • Manual: sum 11 terms $\sum_{i=0}^{10}\binom{25}{i}(0.4)^i(0.6)^{25-i}$ — about 10 minutes of arithmetic.
  • Technology: binomcdf(25, 0.4, 10) $\approx 0.5858$ — one keystroke.
  • $E(X) = np = 10$, so $P(X \leq 10)$ slightly above 0.5 is a sensible answer.
ClassPad and TI side-by-side. On ClassPad: Main → Interactive → Distribution → Discrete → binomialCDf. Set $\text{Lower} = 0$, $\text{Upper} = 10$, Numtrial $= 25$, $\text{pos} = 0.4$. On TI-84: 2nd → DISTR → binomcdf(25, 0.4, 10). Both return $\approx 0.5858$.

Every exam phrase has a one-line calculator translation. Memorise this table — it is the entire toolkit:

Pause — copy the wording-to-command map: "exactly $k$", "at most $k$", "fewer than $k$", "at least $k$", "more than $k$", and the matching calculator command into your book.

Quick check: $X \sim B(15, 0.4)$. Which calculator call gives $P(X \geq 7)$?

06
Manual vs technology — knowing when to switch
core concept

We just saw the wording-to-command map: "exactly $k$" → binompdf; "at most $k$" → binomcdf; "at least $k$" → $1-$ binomcdf$(k-1)$; etc. That raises a question: when is the manual formula faster and mark-safer than the calculator — specifically when $n$ is small or the question says "show that"? This card answers it → use manual when $n\leq8$ and one term only, or when the question requires a derived expression.

Technology is fast but the manual formula is sometimes faster and mark-protective. Use this trade-off table:

  • Use the manual formula when: $n \leq 8$ and you need only one term, or the question explicitly says "show that …" / "derive an expression for …".
  • Use technology when: $n \geq 10$, the wording is cumulative ("at most", "at least", "between"), or numerical precision matters and you don't want rounding accumulation.
  • Hybrid: write the manual expression (for method marks), then evaluate using the calculator. This is the safest pattern in HSC working.

Example — when manual is faster: $X \sim B(5, 0.5)$, $P(X = 3) = \binom{5}{3}(0.5)^5 = 10 \cdot 0.03125 = 0.3125$. Manual takes 15 seconds.

Example — when technology is essential: $X \sim B(30, 0.2)$, $P(8 \leq X \leq 14)$. Manual would require 7 PMF calculations; technology gives $\texttt{binomcdf}(30, 0.2, 14) - \texttt{binomcdf}(30, 0.2, 7) \approx 0.9783 - 0.7723 = 0.2060$ instantly.

$$P(a \leq X \leq b) = \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, b) - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, a-1)$$
Common mistake. Forgetting the $a - 1$ in the "between" formula. If you want $P(8 \leq X \leq 14)$ the lower cdf must go up to $7$ (one below the start of the range), then subtract.

Technology is fast but the manual formula is sometimes faster and mark-protective. Use this trade-off table:

Pause — copy the manual-vs-technology trade-off: use manual formula when $n\leq8$/one term/question says "show that"; use technology for all other multi-term computations into your book.

Did you get this? True or false: to compute $P(5 \leq X \leq 9)$ where $X \sim B(20, 0.3)$, the correct calculator call is $\texttt{binomcdf}(20, 0.3, 9) - \texttt{binomcdf}(20, 0.3, 5)$.

PROBLEM 1 · binompdf · SINGLE VALUE

A factory produces 18% defective widgets. A sample of 25 widgets is inspected. Find $P(X = 4)$ where $X$ is the number of defectives. Round to 4 dp.

1
Set up: $X \sim B(25, 0.18)$. The question asks for a single value ($X = 4$), so use binompdf.
Always identify $(n, p)$ first, then choose pdf vs cdf based on whether the question is a single value or a tail.
PROBLEM 2 · binomcdf · CUMULATIVE TAIL

A poll claims 55% of voters support a policy. In a sample of 40 voters, find the probability that at least 25 support it. Round to 4 dp.

1
Set up: $X \sim B(40, 0.55)$. "At least 25" means $P(X \geq 25) = 1 - P(X \leq 24)$.
"At least $k$" never goes straight into binomcdf; you must complement using $1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k-1)$.
PROBLEM 3 · "BETWEEN" RANGE

A medical screening test has a 92% accuracy rate. 50 patients are tested. Find the probability that between 44 and 48 tests (inclusive) are accurate. Round to 4 dp.

1
Set up: $X \sim B(50, 0.92)$. "Between 44 and 48 inclusive" means $P(44 \leq X \leq 48)$.
The phrase "inclusive" tells you both endpoints are counted. Use the cdf-difference formula.

Fill the gap: For $X \sim B(30, 0.5)$, the probability $P(X < 12)$ is computed as $\texttt{binomcdf}(30, 0.5, )$.

Trap 01
Confusing binompdf with binomcdf
Students often type binompdf(20, 0.3, 5) when the question asks for $P(X \leq 5)$. The result is just $P(X = 5)$, not the cumulative probability — and the answer will be far too small. Always read the wording first, then pick pdf for single points and cdf for tails.
Trap 02
Off-by-one in "at least" / "more than"
$P(X \geq k) = 1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k - 1)$, not $1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k)$. The complement of "at least $k$" is "at most $k-1$". Similarly, $P(X > k) = 1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(n, p, k)$. Mixing these up shifts the answer by one PMF term — often a 5–15% error.
Trap 03
No working shown for calculator step
Writing only the final number ("$P = 0.3145$") risks losing all method marks if it's wrong. Always show: (i) $X \sim B(n, p)$, (ii) the probability statement, (iii) the calculator call, (iv) the numerical result. That layout protects method marks even when a keystroke goes wrong.

Did you get this? True or false: for $X \sim B(20, 0.3)$ the probability $P(X > 5)$ equals $1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(20, 0.3, 5)$.

Work mode · how are you completing this lesson?
1

For $X \sim B(20, 0.35)$ use technology to evaluate $P(X = 8)$. Show the calculator call.

2

For $X \sim B(30, 0.2)$ use technology to evaluate $P(X \leq 5)$. Show the calculator call.

3

A test has 25 multiple-choice questions, each with 5 options. A student guesses every answer. Find the probability they score at least 8 correct. Show the calculator call.

4

A vaccine is 90% effective. 100 patients are vaccinated. Find $P(85 \leq X \leq 95)$ where $X$ counts protected patients.

5

Decide for each case whether manual computation or technology is preferable, and justify in one sentence: (a) $X \sim B(6, 0.5)$, $P(X = 3)$; (b) $X \sim B(50, 0.25)$, $P(10 < X < 18)$.

Odd one out: Three of these calculator calls correctly compute $P(X \geq 10)$ for $X \sim B(20, 0.45)$. Which one is wrong?

11
Revisit your thinking

Earlier you wrote both the manual expression and the calculator call for $P(X = 4)$ where $X \sim B(20, 0.3)$.

The manual form is $\binom{20}{4}(0.3)^4(0.7)^{16}$ and the calculator call is $\texttt{binompdf}(20, 0.3, 4) \approx 0.1304$. Writing both lines is the safest exam habit: the manual expression earns the method mark, the calculator call earns the accuracy mark. The two-line layout is faster than carrying a manual sum to four decimal places by hand.

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01
Multiple choice
+5 XP per correct · +25 XP all-correct

Pick your answer, then rate your confidence — that tells the system what to drill next. Each retry pulls a fresh mix from the bank.

02
Short answer
ApplyBand 32 marks

Q1. For $X \sim B(15, 0.4)$ find $P(X = 6)$. State the calculator call you used and give the answer to 4 dp. (2 marks)

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ApplyBand 43 marks

Q2. The probability that an HSC student watches the news daily is 0.28. In a random sample of 40 students, find the probability that fewer than 10 watch the news daily. Show the calculator call. (3 marks)

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AnalyseBand 53 marks

Q3. A drug is effective in 78% of patients. In a trial of 60 patients, find the probability that the number of patients helped is between 42 and 50 inclusive. Also state $E(X)$ and explain whether the result lies above or below the expected value. (3 marks)

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Comprehensive answers (click to reveal)

Activity answers:

1. $P(X=8) = \texttt{binompdf}(20, 0.35, 8) \approx 0.1614$.

2. $P(X \leq 5) = \texttt{binomcdf}(30, 0.2, 5) \approx 0.4275$.

3. $X \sim B(25, 0.2)$. $P(X \geq 8) = 1 - \texttt{binomcdf}(25, 0.2, 7) \approx 1 - 0.8909 = 0.1091$.

4. $X \sim B(100, 0.9)$. $P(85 \leq X \leq 95) = \texttt{binomcdf}(100, 0.9, 95) - \texttt{binomcdf}(100, 0.9, 84) \approx 0.9601 - 0.0399 = 0.9202$.

5. (a) Manual is faster: $\binom{6}{3}(0.5)^6 = 20/64 = 0.3125$. (b) Technology essential: $X \sim B(50, 0.25)$, $P(10 < X < 18) = P(11 \leq X \leq 17) = \texttt{binomcdf}(50, 0.25, 17) - \texttt{binomcdf}(50, 0.25, 10) \approx 0.9719 - 0.2622 = 0.7097$.

Q1 (2 marks): $X \sim B(15, 0.4)$ [1]. $P(X = 6) = \texttt{binompdf}(15, 0.4, 6) \approx 0.2066$ [1].

Q2 (3 marks): $X \sim B(40, 0.28)$ [1]. $P(X < 10) = P(X \leq 9) = \texttt{binomcdf}(40, 0.28, 9)$ [1] $\approx 0.3551$ [1].

Q3 (3 marks): $X \sim B(60, 0.78)$. $P(42 \leq X \leq 50) = \texttt{binomcdf}(60, 0.78, 50) - \texttt{binomcdf}(60, 0.78, 41) \approx 0.8569 - 0.0815 = 0.7754$ [1 for set-up, 1 for evaluation]. $E(X) = 60 \cdot 0.78 = 46.8$, which sits inside [42, 50], so the high probability is expected — the range is centred on the mean [1].

01
Boss battle · The Calculator Commander
earn bronze · silver · gold

Five timed questions matching wording to the correct binompdf / binomcdf call. Beat the boss to bank a tier — gold (90% + speed), silver (75%), or bronze (50%). Replays welcome.

⚔ Enter the arena
02
Science Jump · platform challenge

Climb platforms by translating wording into calculator calls. Lighter alternative to the boss.

Mark lesson as complete

Tick when you've finished the practice and review.

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