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๐Ÿ“– Lesson 14 โฑ ~30 min Year 10 ยท Unit 4 โšก +50 XP

Bivariate Data Review

Consolidate skills in analysing bivariate data through scatter plots, correlation and lines of best fit.

Today's hook: When two variables are linked, how far can you trust a prediction made from the trend?
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From the lesson
Worksheet

Worksheet

Use the worksheet to complete this lesson in your book or digitally.

Warm-up
Think First
+5 XP each

Q1 ยท What is the difference between data about one thing, like height, and data about two things together, like height and weight?

Q2 ยท If two variables are correlated, does that mean one causes the other? Give a real-world example where this might not be true.

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From the lesson
Intentions

Learning Intentions

Know

  • All techniques for displaying and analysing bivariate data: scatter plots, correlation description, and lines of best fit.

Understand

  • How to select and apply the appropriate technique for a given bivariate data set and research question.

Can Do

  • Analyse a bivariate data set from start to finish: display, describe correlation, fit a line and make predictions.
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From the lesson
Key Terms

Key Terms

Bivariate analysisStatistical methods for exploring relationships between two variables.
TrendThe general direction or pattern shown by data points.
PredictionUsing a model to estimate an unknown value based on known data.
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From the lesson
Misconceptions

Misconceptions to Fix

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Wrong: Probability can be greater than 1.

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Right: Probability always lies between 0 (impossible) and 1 (certain). It can be expressed as a fraction, decimal or percentage.

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Wrong: If P(A) = 0.7, then the probability of A not occurring is 0.3 only if A and B are independent.

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Right: P(Aโ€ฒ) = 1 โˆ’ P(A) always. This is the complement rule and does not require independence.

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From the lesson
Content

Bivariate Data Review

Work through the content, activities and worked examples below. Test your understanding with the questions in the Questions phase.

Remember Probability = (number of favourable outcomes) / (total number of possible outcomes). Always check that your answer is between 0 and 1.
Exam Tip When answering probability questions, show your working as a fraction first, then convert to a decimal or percentage if required.
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From the lesson
Activity
โœ Activity 1, Basic Probability

Calculate the probability of each event:

  1. Rolling a 6 on a fair die.
  2. Drawing a red card from a standard deck.
  3. Flipping two heads in a row.
  4. Drawing a heart or a diamond from a standard deck.
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From the lesson
Worked Example

Worked Example

Step-by-step
A bag contains 5 red, 3 blue and 2 green marbles. One marble is drawn at random. Find the probability of drawing: (a) a red marble, (b) a blue or green marble, (c) not a red marble.
  1. 1
    Step 1: Total marbles = 5 + 3 + 2 = 10.
  2. 2
    (a) P(red): 5 red out of 10 total. P(red) = 5/10 = 1/2 = 0.5.
  3. 3
    (b) P(blue or green): 3 blue + 2 green = 5 favourable. P(blue or green) = 5/10 = 1/2 = 0.5.
  4. 4
    (c) P(not red): Using the complement rule, P(not red) = 1 โˆ’ P(red) = 1 โˆ’ 0.5 = 0.5.
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From the lesson
Revisit

Revisit Your Thinking

Look back at your Think First response. What new understanding do you have now?

Reflect
Revisit your thinking
reflect

Earlier you were asked: What was your first thought on this topic?

Now that you've worked through the lesson, write a fuller answer. What changed in your thinking?

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From the lesson
Multiple Choice

Multiple Choice

Select the best answer for each question.

1 mark The first step in analysing bivariate data is to:

1 mark If a scatter plot shows points scattered randomly with no pattern, there is:

1 mark A line of best fit is most appropriate when the scatter plot shows:

1 mark When interpreting bivariate data, it is important to remember that:

1 mark To compare the relationship between study time and test scores, you would use:

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From the lesson
Short Answer

Short Answer

Show all working and justify your answers.

1. 4 marks A spinner has 8 equal sections numbered 1 to 8.
(a) Find the probability of spinning an even number.
(b) Find the probability of spinning a number greater than 5.
(c) Find the probability of spinning a prime number.

2. 3 marks A bag contains 12 marbles: 4 red, 5 blue and 3 green. Two marbles are drawn with replacement. Find the probability that both marbles are blue.

3. 3 marks Explain the difference between theoretical probability and experimental probability. Give an example of each.

Marking guidance: 1 mark each for MCQs. See mark allocations for each short answer question.

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